Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.206005 0.234492 0.265059 0.300247 0.339584 0.382151 0.431647
2025-11-09 0.163908 0.201157 0.243816 0.296103 0.358271 0.429622 0.517502
2025-11-16 0.134963 0.176888 0.227691 0.293395 0.375693 0.474900 0.603030
2025-11-23 0.113558 0.157930 0.214487 0.291199 0.391771 0.518277 0.688463
2025-11-30 0.099987 0.146664 0.208904 0.296949 0.417080 0.573867 0.792309
2025-12-07 0.087251 0.134539 0.200306 0.297027 0.433911 0.618653 0.884308
2025-12-14 0.076857 0.124188 0.192643 0.296997 0.449714 0.662198 0.976591
2025-12-21 0.068483 0.115633 0.186373 0.297861 0.466128 0.706866 1.072430
2025-12-28 0.062175 0.109390 0.182683 0.301806 0.486759 0.758177 1.180145
2026-01-04 0.057468 0.105077 0.181365 0.308936 0.512228 0.817567 1.302542
2026-01-11 0.052507 0.099703 0.177713 0.311821 0.530965 0.867534 1.413158
2026-01-18 0.048498 0.095464 0.175409 0.316470 0.552461 0.922512 1.533910
2026-01-25 0.045499 0.092863 0.175896 0.326257 0.583738 0.995841 1.689524
2026-02-01 0.040987 0.086934 0.170030 0.324663 0.595991 1.039602 1.800868
2026-02-08 0.037040 0.081582 0.164624 0.323302 0.608349 1.084017 1.915496
2026-02-15 0.033528 0.076637 0.159435 0.321774 0.620104 1.127836 2.031208
2026-02-22 0.031418 0.074279 0.158849 0.328552 0.646835 1.198125 2.194542
2026-03-01 0.028782 0.070475 0.155065 0.328907 0.661825 1.248881 2.327029
2026-03-08 0.026396 0.066902 0.151362 0.329022 0.676215 1.299129 2.460872
2026-03-15 0.024338 0.063799 0.148289 0.330051 0.692238 1.352904 2.603271
2026-03-22 0.022777 0.061641 0.146962 0.334423 0.714820 1.419482 2.771400
2026-03-29 0.021639 0.060346 0.147337 0.342269 0.744565 1.500510 2.969170
2026-04-05 0.020219 0.058173 0.145575 0.345446 0.765166 1.565470 3.140415